Showing posts with label election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label election. Show all posts
Friday, May 8, 2015
Friday, January 10, 2014
Chart of The Day: The Dow's Average Year vs Its Average Mid-Term Election Year
Today's chart illustrates how the stock market has performed during the Average Mid-Term Election Year versus the average year.
Since 1950, the First 9 Months of the Average Mid-Term Election Year have tended to be Subpar (see thick blue line).
That subpar performance was then followed by a significant year-end rally.
One theory to support this behavior is that investors abhor uncertainty. To that end, investors tend to pull back prior to an election when the outcome is unknown.
Beginning in early October, however, the outcome of the election becomes increasingly apparent and investors respond by positioning their portfolios accordingly.
Chart & Analysis Courtesy of Chart of The Day
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Tuesday, March 22, 2011
Chart of The Day - Average Pre-Election Year - Is 2011 Keeping Historical Pace?
Today's chart illustrates how the stock market has performed during the average pre-election year.
Since 1900, the stock market has tended to perform well during the first seven to eight months of the average pre-election year. For the remainder of the year, pre-election performance has tended to be more flat/choppy. In the end, however, the stock market has tended to outperform during the entirety of the pre-election year.
This pre-election year has followed the path of the average pre-election year rather closely with a rally up until mid-February and a correction into mid-March with the aftermath of the devastating Japanese earthquake and tsunami weighing heavily on the market over the past few days.
Since 1900, the stock market has tended to perform well during the first seven to eight months of the average pre-election year. For the remainder of the year, pre-election performance has tended to be more flat/choppy. In the end, however, the stock market has tended to outperform during the entirety of the pre-election year.
This pre-election year has followed the path of the average pre-election year rather closely with a rally up until mid-February and a correction into mid-March with the aftermath of the devastating Japanese earthquake and tsunami weighing heavily on the market over the past few days.
Wednesday, January 5, 2011
Chart of The Day - Average Pre-Election Year - Historical Performance
Today's chart illustrates how the stock market has performed during the average pre-election year. Since 1900, the stock market has tended to outperform during the first 6 to 7 months of the average pre-election year.
For the remainder of the year, pre-election performance has tended to be choppy and slightly subpar. In the end, however, the stock market has tended to outperform during the entirety of the pre-election year.
One theory to support this behavior is that the party in power will make difficult economic decisions in the early years of a presidential cycle and then do everything within its power to stimulate the economy during the latter years in order to increase the odds of re-election.
Chart & Commentary Courtesy of Chart of the Day
For the remainder of the year, pre-election performance has tended to be choppy and slightly subpar. In the end, however, the stock market has tended to outperform during the entirety of the pre-election year.
One theory to support this behavior is that the party in power will make difficult economic decisions in the early years of a presidential cycle and then do everything within its power to stimulate the economy during the latter years in order to increase the odds of re-election.
Chart & Commentary Courtesy of Chart of the Day
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Historically, Mid-Term Elections Are Very Bullish for Stocks...
“In the 17 midterm elections since 1942, the stock market over the next 200 days has gone up 100% of the time, with an average gain of +18.3%.”
Steve Leuthold, The Leuthold Group, Chief Investment Officer
Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Senior Voters: Engaged and Unhappy
78% - Percentage of seniors who are certain they will vote in the election.
65% - Percentage of seniors who have little or no confidence in the government's ability to make progress on important issues.
52% - Percentage of seniors who say they will likely vote for a Republican candidate in the mid-term election.
65% - Percentage of seniors who say they are closely following campaign news.
74% - Percentage of seniors who say they are dissatisfied with national conditions.
36% - Percentage of seniors who say they are less likely to vote for an incumbent running for re-election.
32% - Percentage of seniors who say they are more likely to vote for someone who has never held elected office.
65% - Percentage of seniors who have little or no confidence in the government's ability to make progress on important issues.
52% - Percentage of seniors who say they will likely vote for a Republican candidate in the mid-term election.
65% - Percentage of seniors who say they are closely following campaign news.
74% - Percentage of seniors who say they are dissatisfied with national conditions.
36% - Percentage of seniors who say they are less likely to vote for an incumbent running for re-election.
32% - Percentage of seniors who say they are more likely to vote for someone who has never held elected office.
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Chart of The Day - Mid-Term Election Stats
One theory to support this behavior is that the party in power will make difficult economic decisions in the early years of a presidential cycle and then do everything within its power to stimulate the economy during the latter years in order to increase the odds of re-election.
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