Adjusted for Inflation, The Share of U.S. Households Earning $100,000 or Above Has More Than Tripled from 6.1% in 1969 to 20.1% in 2009...

Why The Average Investor Is Absolutely Abysmal At Investing...

Just how BAD is the average investor at investing? 


According to BlackRock's chart of the week...
They're so bad that they've managed to underperform every major asset class for the last 20 years.  


They've even underperformed inflation!

Volatility is often the catalyst for poor decisions at inopportune times. Amidst difficult financial times, emotional instincts often drive investors to take actions that make no rational sense but make perfect emotional sense.

Psychological factors such as fear often translate into poor timing of buys and sells. Though portfolio managers expend enormous efforts making investment decisions, investors often give up these extra percentage points in poorly timed decisions.

As a result, the average investor underperformed most asset classes over the past 20 years. Investors even underperformed inflation by 0.5%.

2011 Dalbar Study: Why The Average Equity Fund Investor Will ALWAYS Trail The Market...

From December 31, 1990 to December 31, 2010, the S&P 500 gained +9.1% per year.

But the average equity fund investor has gained less than half of much, only +3.8%!

During the same period, the typical aggregate bond index gained +6.9% per year.

But the average fixed income investor has earned 7 times less!!!, only +1.0%!

BOTTOM LINE:

1. Sadly, over the past 2 decades, investors haven't built any real wealth during neither the past 10 years nor the past 20 years. Taxes, inflation, fear, greed, the business cycle, financial crises and market meltdowns all conspired to, not grow, and not even maintain, but shrivel the purchasing power of the average investor.

2. The vast majority of passive investors simply don't have and never will have the psychological discipline to keep the faith during bear markets meltdowns of -30%, -40% or -50% that decimate their retirement nest eggs.

And who can blame them?

Thankfully, there is a better way.

Why The Average Equity Fund Investor Will ALWAYS Trail The Market...

From January 1, 1990 to December 31, 2009, the S&P 500 gained +8.2% per year.

But the average equity fund investor has gained less the half of much, only +3.2%!

During the same period, the typical aggregate bond index gained +7.1% per year.

But the average fixed income investor has earned 7 times less!!!, only +1.0%!

BOTTOM LINE:

1. Sadly, over the past 2 decades, investors haven't built any real wealth during neither the past 10 years nor the past 20 years. Taxes, inflation, fear, greed, the business cycle, financial crises and market meltdowns all conspired to, not grow, and not even maintain, but shrivel the purchasing power of the average investor.

2. The vast majority of passive investors simply don't have and never will have the psychological discipline to keep the faith during bear markets meltdowns of -30%, -40% or -50% that decimate their retirement nest eggs.

And who can blame them?

Thankfully, there is a better way.

The Primary Reason Why The Bull Market In Gold Is NOT Over...

Interest rates remain BELOW the cost of inflation.

The current level of U.S. interest rates remains a hugely bullish factor for gold prices.

Real (inflation-adjusted) rates in the United States remain negative. Ever since the credit crunch three years ago, the Federal Reserve has been committed to fighting falling prices. That’s why the central bank has kept interest rates so low.

This means investors are not being compensated for holding cash or short-term fixed-income securities because rates are below the cost of inflation. Since the dollar pays almost nothing to its holder, it’s actually a liability to carry.

That alone is enough of a reason to continue to own gold and gold stocks.

The yellow metal yields nothing. But it has intrinsic value. The dollar has no intrinsic value and has lost its purchasing power every decade since Nixon broke the gold window in 1971.

The Average Equity Fund Investor Trails the Market By A Wide Margin...

"A study by research firm Dalbar Inc. reveals that for the 20 years ending December 31, 2009, annualized returns for the S&P 500 index were +8.2%, but returns for the average stock (equity fund) investor were only +3.2%."

U.S. News & World Report, October 2010 Issue

A +8.2% per year average return means that a $100,000 investment in the S&P 500 grew to $483,666 over 20 years. 

But the average equity fund investor only earned +3.2% per year. Under that scenario, $100,000 grows to only $187,756 in 20 years.

But wait. Are we done yet?

What about inflation?

We have to account for the fact that inflation averaged +2.8% during the past 20 years. That means that $100,000 has to grow to $173,015 over 20 years just maintain its purchasing power!

What about taxes?

Because investors were buying high and selling low, they incurred tax liabilities that would reduce their inflation-adjusted and tax-adjusted returns below the rate of inflation.

That means the average investor's purchasing power after taxes,  inflation and a +3.2% annual return has not increased, rather it has steadily eroded.

Another "average investor" study by TrimTabs Investment Research shows that the stock market ended the past decade pretty much at break even, but average investors lost roughly -$39 billion, or roughly -20% over the past 10 years.

"It cost them about -20% to buy high and sell low," says TrimTabs' Vincent Deluard.


BOTTOM LINE: 

1. Sadly, over the past 2 decades, investors haven't built any real wealth during neither the past 10 years nor the past 20 years. Taxes, inflation, fear, greed, the business cycle, financial crises and market meltdowns all conspired to, not grow, and not even maintain, but shrivel the purchasing power of the average investor.


2. The vast majority of passive investors simply don't have and never will have the psychological discipline to keep the faith during bear markets meltdowns of -30%, -40% or -50% that decimate their retirement nest eggs. 


And who can blame them?

Thankfully, there is a better way.

Chart of The Day - Inflation-Adjusted S&P 500 Leaves Much To Be Desired

Chart & Analysis Courtesy of Chart of The Day

For some long-term stock market perspective, today's chart illustrates the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 since 1900. It is of interest that, when adjusted for inflation, massive bear markets similar in magnitude to what occurred in the early stages of the Great Depression (i.e. early 1930s) are actually not all that uncommon.

For example, the secular bear markets that concluded in the early 1920s and early 1980s were of similar magnitude.

It is also of interest that the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 is up +550% since 1900. This equates to an average annual return of only +1.7%.

Currently, with the S&P 500 trading -41% off its inflation-adjusted year 2000 peak, the S&P 500 trades very much near the center of its century-plus upward sloping trend channel.

WSJ - Worst Decade in 200 Years for Inflation-Adjusted Returns

Many investors realize that stocks have been among the worst investments of the past decade. But they may not realize quite how bad the decade was, because most people forget about the effects of inflation.

Controlling for inflation takes extra work and makes stock gains look punier, so it is easy to see why stock analysts almost never do it. The media almost never do it either.

Despite its 2009 rebound, the Dow Jones Industrial Average today stands at just 10520.10, no higher than in 1999. And that is without counting consumer-price inflation. In 1999 dollars, the Dow is only at about 8200 and would have to rise another +28% or so to return to 1999 levels. Using today's dollars and starting at 10520.10, the Dow would have to surpass 13460 to get back to its 1999 level in real, inflation-adjusted terms.

Since the end of 1999, the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index has lost an average of -3.3% a year on an inflation-adjusted basis, compared with a +1.8% average annual gain during the 1930s when deflation afflicted the economy, according to data compiled by Charles Jones, finance professor at North Carolina State University. His data use dividend estimates for 2009 and the consumer price index for the 12 months through November.

Even the 1970s, when a bear market was coupled with inflation, wasn't as bad as the most recent period. The S&P 500 lost -1.4% after inflation during that decade.

That is especially disappointing news for investors, considering that a key goal of investing in stocks is to increase money faster than inflation.

But other things do get measured in real dollars. When economists report whether the economy is growing, they account for inflation. When analysts judge long-term gains in commodities such as gold or oil, they often adjust for inflation, noting that gold hit a record this month in nominal terms but remains far from its 1980 record in real terms. Because analysts almost never do the same with stocks, it leaves investors with an exaggerated view of their portfolios' performance over time.

"Looking at returns on a nominal basis can be very misleading," says Richard Bernstein, a former chief investment strategist at Merrill Lynch who is launching a New York money-management firm called Richard Bernstein Capital Management. He checks inflation-adjusted performance to monitor investments' real value.