There's An Incredibly High Correlation Between Stock Market Performance & A Decreasing Trend in Jobless Claims...

“As go Jobless Claims, so shall go the Stock Market.” 


“As goes the Stock Market, so shall go Jobless Claims.”

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Vantage Point UPDATE: Intermediate-Term and Long-Term Trend Analysis

On Friday, August 23, the S&P 500 closed @ 1664, and that was...
  
   +7.0% ABOVE its 12-Month moving average which stood @ 1555.
   +6.3% ABOVE its 40-Week moving average which stood @ 1565.
   +0.2% ABOVE its 10-Week moving average which stood @ 1661.


Therefore, the INTERMEDIATE-Term trend IS NEUTRAL 
and the LONG-Term trend is UP.

The Challenge of Putting It All Together...

Under President Obama: Median Household Income Crashed & Hasn't Recovered..

Vantage Point UPDATE: Intermediate-Term and Long-Term Trend Analysis

On Friday, August 16, the S&P 500 closed @ 1656, and that was...
  
   +6.6% ABOVE its 12-Month moving average which stood @ 1554.
   +6.3% ABOVE its 40-Week moving average which stood @ 1557.
   -0.1% BELOW its 10-Week moving average which stood @ 1658.


Therefore, the INTERMEDIATE-Term trend IS NEUTRAL 
and the LONG-Term trend is UP.

Earnings & Revenue Growth for The S&P 500 Are Anemic...

What if Families Handled Finances Like the Federal Government Does?

INFLATION-ADJUSTED DOLLARS (2012)

Sources: Congressional Budget Office and U.S. Census Bureau.

In 2010, median family income was $51,360. If a typical family followed the federal government's lead, it would spend $73,319 and put 30 cents of every dollar spent on a credit card. 

This family would have racked up $325,781 in credit card debt—like a mortgage, only without the house. 

What credit card company would continue lending money to this family?

Vantage Point UPDATE: Intermediate-Term and Long-Term Trend Analysis

On Friday, August 9, the S&P 500 closed @ 1691, and that was...
  
   +8.5% ABOVE its 12-Month moving average which stood @ 1559.
   +9.1% ABOVE its 40-Week moving average which stood @ 1551.
   +2.1% ABOVE its 10-Week moving average which stood @ 1657.


Therefore, the INTERMEDIATE-Term trend IS BULLISH 
and the LONG-Term trend is UP.

This Disconnect Can't Be Good for Stocks: GDP Tumbles While Stocks Soar?

The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high on Friday, August 2nd.

Meanwhile, estimates for U.S. GDP Growth in 2013 have been FALLING for two and a half years!

How can this disconnect be good for stocks?


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/gdp-growth-expectations-vs-the-sp-500-2013-8#ixzz2b8b4GYOb

Jobless Rate Hits 4-Year Low, But...

Vantage Point UPDATE: Intermediate-Term and Long-Term Trend Analysis

On Friday, August 2, the S&P 500 closed @ 1710, and that was...
  
    +9.5% ABOVE its 12-Month moving average which stood @ 1562.
   +10.7% ABOVE its 40-Week moving average which stood @ 1544.
     +3.6% ABOVE its 10-Week moving average which stood @ 1651.


Therefore, the INTERMEDIATE-Term trend IS BULLISH 
and the LONG-Term trend is UP.

Unemployment is Much Higher Than It Looks...

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) puts out several "alternative" measures of unemployment. 

One of them, the so-called U6 Gauge, adds to ordinary unemployment those who are discouraged, part-time workers who want full-time jobs and those who are "marginally-attached" to the workforce.

As the chart above shows, The Real Rate of Unemployment is about 14.3% — nearly two-thirds higher than when the recession began in December 2007.