Friday, January 22, 2010

Chart of the Day: Stock Market Rallies Since 1900



"The current Dow rally is well below average in both magnitude and duration."

The Dow made another rally high  in 2010. To provide some perspective to the current Dow rally that began back in March, all major market rallies of the last 110 years are plotted on today's chart. 

Each dot represents a major stock market rally as measured by the Dow. As today's chart illustrates, the Dow has begun a major rally 27 times over the past 110 years which equates to an average of one rally every four years. 

Also, most major rallies (73%) resulted in a gain of between +30% and +150% and lasted between 200 and 800 trading days -- highlighted in today's chart with a light blue shaded box. 

As it stands right now, the current Dow rally (hollow blue dot labeled you are here) has entered the low range of a "typical" rally and would currently be classified as both short in duration and below average in magnitude.
 

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